GUWAHATI
27 NOVEMBER,2008
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[ next e-newsletter- Hillary on Red rebels in Bhutan
28 November,2008 ] -sorry,server down today,pl.bear with us.
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Thousands of media-persons in Manipur-a state near Myanmar- organised a mass rally on 26 November last in Imphal city,protesting against the failure of the Indian state of Manipur to prevent state terrorism in principle , killing of a junior journalist by unidentified persons recently in Imphal, preceded by wanton and brutal murder of media persons including two editors in Imphal in broad day light.
State government announced CBI inquiry in the episode; people on the whole desire a full scale investigation into the series of brutal killings of journalists in Manipur and, large scale extra judicial killings of common man, committed since 1991 .
State has a role and constitutional obligation to divulge, in complete transparency, the state executions, secret killings as a well defined policy and murders committed by NON-state actors also or terrorists for whatever justifications they made out after the murder of the victims.People have right to know the state of affairs in Manipur-even, under the Right to Information Act.
Ironically, in as many as100 cases of extra- judicial executions ,Manipur opposition haviing peerless orators, remained conspicuously silent in 95 % of cases; they donot organise Gandhian ways of fast unto death,not pro-active democratic rallies.No record gives testimony their pro-active democratic dissent .Reportedly, governmental contracts, favours gag even the vocal leaders.Democracy doe not longer survive where the opposition is virtually dead.
In Assam also, a dozen journalists have been done to death,while anti- insurgency outfits hugely funded by unknown sources-like the APW [ Assam Public Works or, analysis wing whatever] chose silence over killing of media- persons.The Assam opposition too keep silence.On the whole, secret killings and extrajudicial killings have been successfully employed in the NE region to silence protests; on this score , irresponsible terrorists organisations have their lion's share in terrorising the common people. Responsible NLMs with responsible command structure and leadership committed officially to the dictates of International Humanitarian laws also operate in the messy and chaotic imbroglio.
Justice K.N. Saikia inquiry into secret killings in Assam during AGP regime had revealed the active role of the state agencies in killing Assamese people, including relatives of the ULFA; the killers are let loose without any legal action pursuing them.In Manipur also,CM Ibobi could immediately constitute inquiry into the whole episode since 1991 till today by appointing a supreme court judge or, even a high court judge within a time frame.This may help his party to garner more popular support in May election,2009.
The United Nations,the US and the world human rights orgs. could play a pro-active role in order to put a halt to extrajudicial killings ,committed either by the state or the fringe elements of terrorists bodies.
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
HILLARY & OBAMA ON MAOIST NEPAL
Guwahati -26 November,2008
_____________________
WHO WOULD REMOVE NEPAL FROM
US TERROR LIST ?
Nepal, strategically located between two giants- communist China and capitalist India with a socialistic constitution, with a 24 million population, passing through a defining moment in history deserves attention of the new US presidency in the context of the US giving recognition to a democratically elected Maoist, socialist government.
Bush administration had enlisted the Maoist party that runs the present government at Kathmandu in the US terrorist list.A change is forthcoming in the agenda of the US state department, which could remove the Maoist ruling party from the US terror list. A new republic is born-hail to the new republic;the republicans world over would celebrate the end of monarchy.
The wishes of the Nepali mass that chose socialism could not be overlooked by a leading democracy like the post-McCarthy USA.McCarathysm is no longer respectable in post-1991 USA where smell of economic equality is no longer a communist blasphemy.Bush jr. would pump in billions of dollar to US banks to save capitalism with state support.
Obama could understand the strategic importance of Nepal in South Asia.American administration had already welcomed the election in the Himalayan kingdom, without acknowledging the victory of the Maoists.
Nepal would adopt a new constitution and resolve the anguish at southern Nepal, integrate the former Maoist CPN-revolutionaries within the new dispensation as much as George Washington and his revolutionaries got themselves stablilized in the post-independent United States.After all, revolutionism is not a new experience for the US that had to pass through one more civil war.
Nepali experience, in one sense, is a replication of the US civil war albeit the ideological content. Obama administration could bring a paradigm -shift on the subject, while confronting anti-American terrorists elsewhere.
Prachanda- the premier and the new president had congratulated on Obama's election with certain political expectations from the new order.Even Nepali astrologers predicted his victory over Mc Cain before one month of the US election. In retrospect, Nixon even wooed Mao Dze Dong during cold war period.
In May,2008, US deputy assistant secretary of state_ Evan Feigenbaum and ambassador Nancy Powell met the CPN- leaders, who had already laid down arms in 2006.US would indicate it concern for human rights and security of persons in Nepal.It continues to lend assistance to Nepal and would continue to do so,
The US had already taken steps to accept as many as 60,000 Bhutanese immigrant refugees in the US; similarly, Nepali immigrants in the US might have expected certain concessions from the country.
Obama's commitment to create 2.5 millon jobs for American youths bears no consideration for a large number of Indians, who love to leave their country for new opportunities or, greener pastures in their would-be-motherland, thereby creating brain-drain in India.America is the land of opportunities for both the Americans and the brainymanics from amongst the tsunamisque immigrant diasporas.
US has to shift its policy towards the socialist government in Nepal in order to reinforce the strategic importance of the latter.
_____________________
WHO WOULD REMOVE NEPAL FROM
US TERROR LIST ?
Nepal, strategically located between two giants- communist China and capitalist India with a socialistic constitution, with a 24 million population, passing through a defining moment in history deserves attention of the new US presidency in the context of the US giving recognition to a democratically elected Maoist, socialist government.
Bush administration had enlisted the Maoist party that runs the present government at Kathmandu in the US terrorist list.A change is forthcoming in the agenda of the US state department, which could remove the Maoist ruling party from the US terror list. A new republic is born-hail to the new republic;the republicans world over would celebrate the end of monarchy.
The wishes of the Nepali mass that chose socialism could not be overlooked by a leading democracy like the post-McCarthy USA.McCarathysm is no longer respectable in post-1991 USA where smell of economic equality is no longer a communist blasphemy.Bush jr. would pump in billions of dollar to US banks to save capitalism with state support.
Obama could understand the strategic importance of Nepal in South Asia.American administration had already welcomed the election in the Himalayan kingdom, without acknowledging the victory of the Maoists.
Nepal would adopt a new constitution and resolve the anguish at southern Nepal, integrate the former Maoist CPN-revolutionaries within the new dispensation as much as George Washington and his revolutionaries got themselves stablilized in the post-independent United States.After all, revolutionism is not a new experience for the US that had to pass through one more civil war.
Nepali experience, in one sense, is a replication of the US civil war albeit the ideological content. Obama administration could bring a paradigm -shift on the subject, while confronting anti-American terrorists elsewhere.
Prachanda- the premier and the new president had congratulated on Obama's election with certain political expectations from the new order.Even Nepali astrologers predicted his victory over Mc Cain before one month of the US election. In retrospect, Nixon even wooed Mao Dze Dong during cold war period.
In May,2008, US deputy assistant secretary of state_ Evan Feigenbaum and ambassador Nancy Powell met the CPN- leaders, who had already laid down arms in 2006.US would indicate it concern for human rights and security of persons in Nepal.It continues to lend assistance to Nepal and would continue to do so,
The US had already taken steps to accept as many as 60,000 Bhutanese immigrant refugees in the US; similarly, Nepali immigrants in the US might have expected certain concessions from the country.
Obama's commitment to create 2.5 millon jobs for American youths bears no consideration for a large number of Indians, who love to leave their country for new opportunities or, greener pastures in their would-be-motherland, thereby creating brain-drain in India.America is the land of opportunities for both the Americans and the brainymanics from amongst the tsunamisque immigrant diasporas.
US has to shift its policy towards the socialist government in Nepal in order to reinforce the strategic importance of the latter.
Saturday, November 22, 2008
HILLARY CLINTON DEFENDS TAMIL EELAM TIGERS
Guwahati,24 November,2008
____________________
" YOU CAN'T LUMP ALL TERRORISTS"- Hillary.
"And I think one of our mistakes has
been painting
with such a broad brush"_______________
Obama presidency promises changes ,and raises higher expectations among the suffering peaceniks in South Asia, among others.Sri Lanka's Tamil eelam tigers- the LTTE_ has been listed in the US list of terror groups in the world; post-9/11, Bush -II has indiscriminately painted all the NSAs or, even legitimate entities, many of whom his own country in the recent past had officially and militarily supported, with the same brush as terrorists per se thereby on occasions projecting the US as a blindfolded ,myopic rogue state.The US, Obama presidency thinks about, could be substantially different- a USA deserving moral warmth and respect of the rest of the world.What would actually transpire belong largely to the domain of expectations- misconceived or,tangible.
The world that resists mindless terrorism,particularly of the fundamentalist complexion, had been consistently espousing the emergence of legitimate suffering and subjugated people or, nations to graduate into independent statehood; there had never been another way around.History has been merciless in turning out successful revolutionaries as statesmen of tall order ,and dumping in those unsuccessful into heinous criminals.The Eelam tigers of Sri Lanka could claim no caveat in human history.
In retrospect,LTTE gained enormous strength from a scratch ,because of full political support of government of India before twenty years, the best ever military training imparted by the top Indian generals etc in as many as thirty secret training centres in India.Chandrika Kumartunga wanted to bring about a negotiated settlement in the island,but the Norwegian facilitator was suspected of bias in favour of the LTTE, while the US president Bush reiterated in his UN GA address in 2004
, the need for absolute use of force in conducting international relations.
Barack Obama, unlike Bush -II in the post 9/11, in his campaigns for the presidency has focused problem of the 21st century, vicious civil war in Sri Lanka,genocide in that part of the world; his speeches indicate that Sri Lankan Tamils can not be accused of committing terrorism.He was incapable of mistaking the subjugated nation as the villain of Sri Lankan prose.
Both Obama and Hillary Clinton addressed the Tamil tiger issue, while apparently overlooking similar issues of protracted insurgency in Assam, and the NE region of India that long preceded in both time scale and intensity ,the Tamil Eelam issue.Their security advisors either conveniently ignore the NE region or, are ignorant of the continuing imbroglio.
His nominated would- be-secretary of state_ the high profile top diplomat _Hillary Clinton also could discriminate the wronged in history against the wrong-doers in history.The envisioned change within and without the new US may impute security- significance towards aiming at a just world order,despite the unpleasant pressures of the foreign policy and national security hawks,compounded by the military industrial complex that misshapes the agenda.
Hillary Clinton had turned down campaign assistance from the LTTE-front org.-the TRO-Tamil Rehabilitation Organisation; she did not play into the hands of any one but herself in choosing a world order.She had compared the LTTE on similar terms with the Basque separatists in Spain,al-Anbar province, and did not conceive in the LTTE another al Qaeda.
In her interview to Miachael Tomasky of the Guardian on 23 October,2007, Hillary Clinton spoke," Well, I believe that terrorism is a tool that has been utilized through out history to achieve certain objectives. Some of them have been ideological, others territorial. There are personality-driven terrorist objective. The bottomline is,you can't lump all terrorists together."
She wanted to diagnose and understand the Tamil tigers.Notably, hawks would keep aside the dignosis and assume even pre-emptive retaliation of all kinds.Hillary Clinton recognised the 'ideological underpinnings' of the Tamil struggles, 'understanding what it is', and proposed what we could do 'much better jobs'.The objectives apart, she spoke that the terrorist bodies and the insurgents are connected by tactics only.
In her words, " And I think we've got to do a better job of clarifying what are the motivations, the raisons de'tre of terrorists." The Obama presidency can think about problems, analyse them, and strategize on them after making deeper penetration into problem structure.
Indian general Ashok Kumar Mehta in an interview- webcast urges upon the Sri Lanka government to fight the LTTE on three fronts viz., the conventional war, the guerrilla war and thirdly, the terrorism.These three are segmented and clearly different. The interviewer questioned general Mehta-" Can government of Sri Lanka ever annihilate the LTTE ? If so how long should it take ?"
Indian general replied, " NEVER."______________________
____________________
" YOU CAN'T LUMP ALL TERRORISTS"- Hillary.
"And I think one of our mistakes has
been painting
with such a broad brush"_______________
Obama presidency promises changes ,and raises higher expectations among the suffering peaceniks in South Asia, among others.Sri Lanka's Tamil eelam tigers- the LTTE_ has been listed in the US list of terror groups in the world; post-9/11, Bush -II has indiscriminately painted all the NSAs or, even legitimate entities, many of whom his own country in the recent past had officially and militarily supported, with the same brush as terrorists per se thereby on occasions projecting the US as a blindfolded ,myopic rogue state.The US, Obama presidency thinks about, could be substantially different- a USA deserving moral warmth and respect of the rest of the world.What would actually transpire belong largely to the domain of expectations- misconceived or,tangible.
The world that resists mindless terrorism,particularly of the fundamentalist complexion, had been consistently espousing the emergence of legitimate suffering and subjugated people or, nations to graduate into independent statehood; there had never been another way around.History has been merciless in turning out successful revolutionaries as statesmen of tall order ,and dumping in those unsuccessful into heinous criminals.The Eelam tigers of Sri Lanka could claim no caveat in human history.
In retrospect,LTTE gained enormous strength from a scratch ,because of full political support of government of India before twenty years, the best ever military training imparted by the top Indian generals etc in as many as thirty secret training centres in India.Chandrika Kumartunga wanted to bring about a negotiated settlement in the island,but the Norwegian facilitator was suspected of bias in favour of the LTTE, while the US president Bush reiterated in his UN GA address in 2004
, the need for absolute use of force in conducting international relations.
Barack Obama, unlike Bush -II in the post 9/11, in his campaigns for the presidency has focused problem of the 21st century, vicious civil war in Sri Lanka,genocide in that part of the world; his speeches indicate that Sri Lankan Tamils can not be accused of committing terrorism.He was incapable of mistaking the subjugated nation as the villain of Sri Lankan prose.
Both Obama and Hillary Clinton addressed the Tamil tiger issue, while apparently overlooking similar issues of protracted insurgency in Assam, and the NE region of India that long preceded in both time scale and intensity ,the Tamil Eelam issue.Their security advisors either conveniently ignore the NE region or, are ignorant of the continuing imbroglio.
His nominated would- be-secretary of state_ the high profile top diplomat _Hillary Clinton also could discriminate the wronged in history against the wrong-doers in history.The envisioned change within and without the new US may impute security- significance towards aiming at a just world order,despite the unpleasant pressures of the foreign policy and national security hawks,compounded by the military industrial complex that misshapes the agenda.
Hillary Clinton had turned down campaign assistance from the LTTE-front org.-the TRO-Tamil Rehabilitation Organisation; she did not play into the hands of any one but herself in choosing a world order.She had compared the LTTE on similar terms with the Basque separatists in Spain,al-Anbar province, and did not conceive in the LTTE another al Qaeda.
In her interview to Miachael Tomasky of the Guardian on 23 October,2007, Hillary Clinton spoke," Well, I believe that terrorism is a tool that has been utilized through out history to achieve certain objectives. Some of them have been ideological, others territorial. There are personality-driven terrorist objective. The bottomline is,you can't lump all terrorists together."
She wanted to diagnose and understand the Tamil tigers.Notably, hawks would keep aside the dignosis and assume even pre-emptive retaliation of all kinds.Hillary Clinton recognised the 'ideological underpinnings' of the Tamil struggles, 'understanding what it is', and proposed what we could do 'much better jobs'.The objectives apart, she spoke that the terrorist bodies and the insurgents are connected by tactics only.
In her words, " And I think we've got to do a better job of clarifying what are the motivations, the raisons de'tre of terrorists." The Obama presidency can think about problems, analyse them, and strategize on them after making deeper penetration into problem structure.
Indian general Ashok Kumar Mehta in an interview- webcast urges upon the Sri Lanka government to fight the LTTE on three fronts viz., the conventional war, the guerrilla war and thirdly, the terrorism.These three are segmented and clearly different. The interviewer questioned general Mehta-" Can government of Sri Lanka ever annihilate the LTTE ? If so how long should it take ?"
Indian general replied, " NEVER."______________________
open more blogs of the author
http://naoremsanajaoba.blogspot.com
http://wwwkangleipak,blogspot.com
www.gauhati.ac.in/law/staff/Naorem.htm
gauhati university-in lieu of a e-newsletter on strategic analysis
Friday, November 21, 2008
SECY-STATE NOMINEE HILLARY CLINTON ON SOUTH ASIA EXTREMISM
November 21,Guwahati
_________________
The president-elect,USA is likely to nominate in afew hours from now, his one time democratic rival- a would-have -been Merkel or,a Meir or, a Thatcher- if not Ms Gandhi, Hillary Rodham Clinton with a condition that her ex prez. makes his highly lucrative speeches transparent and more accountable.The secy- state nominee is clearly for putting down extremism in South Asia.Her president had stressed upon international cooperation, more US-UN collaboration and change.Her approaches have to be qualified by the broader policy statement of the next prez.
Hillary Clinton who visited India and is well aware of the need for reinforcing Indo-US relation,while keeping reurgent Russia,particularly,post- Osettia 2008,in her active security-orineted mind and taming the emerging China with economic trade off and economic ties. He electoral thrust on' security and opportunity' would be reflected in her approach to win South Asia on her terms.
Her prez.husband Clinton in his interveiw in PTV in March 2000 had patronized Pakistan, and she herself gave generous white house hospitality to late Benazir on her home coming to Pakistan in person, despite the adverse restrictions from security advisors.She would address to Pak-Afghan border, in conformity with the dictate of new Prez.
In her voting record,she had voted for,in October 2002 for sending troops to Iraq, and now, she would take action for US troop -withdrawal from Iraq by 2010, as stated by the new prez.She had once considered Barack Obama's proposition for the US to negotiate with mullahs in Iran as untenable.That hardline stance may undergo paradigm-shift.
Modern diplomacy- Barack Obama style could be less than the hawkish model of the republican predecessor or, could be much softer.The new administration may try to overlook Assam and the NE region,unlike her planned Indo-Pak dialogue on Kashmir or, undreamt of limited US bombing of the tribal areas harbouring al Qaeda.Exit from Afghanistan may be a matter of deep concern for the USA after three years or,so,once troop re-inforcement has been made in a political vacuum that leaves virtually no space to the Talibans.Assam is important,yet the new dispensation would address it within Indian strategy.
_________________
The president-elect,USA is likely to nominate in afew hours from now, his one time democratic rival- a would-have -been Merkel or,a Meir or, a Thatcher- if not Ms Gandhi, Hillary Rodham Clinton with a condition that her ex prez. makes his highly lucrative speeches transparent and more accountable.The secy- state nominee is clearly for putting down extremism in South Asia.Her president had stressed upon international cooperation, more US-UN collaboration and change.Her approaches have to be qualified by the broader policy statement of the next prez.
Hillary Clinton who visited India and is well aware of the need for reinforcing Indo-US relation,while keeping reurgent Russia,particularly,post- Osettia 2008,in her active security-orineted mind and taming the emerging China with economic trade off and economic ties. He electoral thrust on' security and opportunity' would be reflected in her approach to win South Asia on her terms.
Her prez.husband Clinton in his interveiw in PTV in March 2000 had patronized Pakistan, and she herself gave generous white house hospitality to late Benazir on her home coming to Pakistan in person, despite the adverse restrictions from security advisors.She would address to Pak-Afghan border, in conformity with the dictate of new Prez.
In her voting record,she had voted for,in October 2002 for sending troops to Iraq, and now, she would take action for US troop -withdrawal from Iraq by 2010, as stated by the new prez.She had once considered Barack Obama's proposition for the US to negotiate with mullahs in Iran as untenable.That hardline stance may undergo paradigm-shift.
Modern diplomacy- Barack Obama style could be less than the hawkish model of the republican predecessor or, could be much softer.The new administration may try to overlook Assam and the NE region,unlike her planned Indo-Pak dialogue on Kashmir or, undreamt of limited US bombing of the tribal areas harbouring al Qaeda.Exit from Afghanistan may be a matter of deep concern for the USA after three years or,so,once troop re-inforcement has been made in a political vacuum that leaves virtually no space to the Talibans.Assam is important,yet the new dispensation would address it within Indian strategy.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
OBAMA,AL QAEDA AND SOUTH ASIA
November 20,2008-9 pm
___________________
The Al-Qaeda, largely a byproduct of the escalating American Zionist policy following the Balfour declaration ,bifurcation of Palestine state in 1948 and eventual extinction of the Palestine half- state, prior to its partial restoration after Wye river agreement, has been in the scanner of American militrary-foreign policy offensive- in one word, American 'exceptionalism 'as discussed in his book Diplomacy of Henry Kissinger_ the accepted pragmatic Machiavellian of the last century.
Obama's focus on Afghanistan may go beyond Bush doctrine; in the process- in the middle of his tenure, a strong confrontation may be imminent.The spill-over would reach out to South Asia and may even re-align the political Islamists of South-East Asia and South Asia.Myanmar,Indo-China pot belly bears significant presence of political Islamists armed and committed to their own convictions. On November 19 last, Arabic TV channels did broadcast al Qaeda no.2 leader's slanging Obama with indecency and challenging the US might in Afghanistan;
Obama team chose it wise enough to play soft till the swearing in is a reality.
Asean,East Asia,BIMSTEC and SAARC had their own scripts for fighting out terrorism.The yet-to-be- sworn-in Obama presidency would try to link up the Asian instrumentalities.In the mess-up,even genuine national liberation movements of non-independent peoples in South Asia would be painted by the same terrorist brush leading to even more entanglement,let alone the envisioned containment strategy.
The possible mess-up thought may lead to escalation of the unrest, let alone cleaning up the genuine terrorists- fundamentalised in their respective faiths and spiritualism.In the fundamentalisation process,it would be unfair to singularise only the extremist fringe of political Islam.Analysts from Pakistan expressed their worry about a possible US invasion in tribal areas of Pakistan that harbours the al Qaeda terrorists.Already, US drones had bombed out select areas in Pakistan thereby inviting Pakistani protest against US intrusion in a friendly country.Strategic analysts of South Asia feel that nuclear armaments from South Asia including Pakistan may fall into terrorists' hands. It is time that all the South Asian experts of the president-elect prepare strategic-economic -military roadmap.
The US gesture to Talibans- originally, the abandoned children of the US,let loose against the strongest ever communist presence-may not be extricated from the US approach to Al Qaeda. Gunaratana's book-AL QAEDA- well-researched [ for six years on the ground]book on the organisation cites the Islamic urges upon the USA to leave the Arabs alone and lift away the US army from Arab states in order to de-legitimize the political-military objective of the AL Qaeda.
Reportedly ,there might have have several thousands of al Qaedists in sixty countries, as Osma claims so .There are some grains of truth though.The US has been conjecturalised as the unipolar monster globally policing the world.How far Obama's change could provide space for 'change from within' is yet to be guessed.America's lost moralist stance is yet to be restored. Can America afford tobe half-immoral lies within moralistic perceptions.
South Asia,particularly - Assam and the NE region carries history's semi-colonial burden; by twists and turns, the imbroglio has escalated horizontally.In a nuclear war that won't happen as we hope so, a messy South Asia may not retain a peaceful NE region in India.It is till alarmist as much as every alarmism bears s a rationale.The legitimate issues are yet to be addressed with right perspectives and peace initiatives.A troublesome South Asia is undoubtedly a threat to world peace and security.
___________________
The Al-Qaeda, largely a byproduct of the escalating American Zionist policy following the Balfour declaration ,bifurcation of Palestine state in 1948 and eventual extinction of the Palestine half- state, prior to its partial restoration after Wye river agreement, has been in the scanner of American militrary-foreign policy offensive- in one word, American 'exceptionalism 'as discussed in his book Diplomacy of Henry Kissinger_ the accepted pragmatic Machiavellian of the last century.
Obama's focus on Afghanistan may go beyond Bush doctrine; in the process- in the middle of his tenure, a strong confrontation may be imminent.The spill-over would reach out to South Asia and may even re-align the political Islamists of South-East Asia and South Asia.Myanmar,Indo-China pot belly bears significant presence of political Islamists armed and committed to their own convictions. On November 19 last, Arabic TV channels did broadcast al Qaeda no.2 leader's slanging Obama with indecency and challenging the US might in Afghanistan;
Obama team chose it wise enough to play soft till the swearing in is a reality.
Asean,East Asia,BIMSTEC and SAARC had their own scripts for fighting out terrorism.The yet-to-be- sworn-in Obama presidency would try to link up the Asian instrumentalities.In the mess-up,even genuine national liberation movements of non-independent peoples in South Asia would be painted by the same terrorist brush leading to even more entanglement,let alone the envisioned containment strategy.
The possible mess-up thought may lead to escalation of the unrest, let alone cleaning up the genuine terrorists- fundamentalised in their respective faiths and spiritualism.In the fundamentalisation process,it would be unfair to singularise only the extremist fringe of political Islam.Analysts from Pakistan expressed their worry about a possible US invasion in tribal areas of Pakistan that harbours the al Qaeda terrorists.Already, US drones had bombed out select areas in Pakistan thereby inviting Pakistani protest against US intrusion in a friendly country.Strategic analysts of South Asia feel that nuclear armaments from South Asia including Pakistan may fall into terrorists' hands. It is time that all the South Asian experts of the president-elect prepare strategic-economic -military roadmap.
The US gesture to Talibans- originally, the abandoned children of the US,let loose against the strongest ever communist presence-may not be extricated from the US approach to Al Qaeda. Gunaratana's book-AL QAEDA- well-researched [ for six years on the ground]book on the organisation cites the Islamic urges upon the USA to leave the Arabs alone and lift away the US army from Arab states in order to de-legitimize the political-military objective of the AL Qaeda.
Reportedly ,there might have have several thousands of al Qaedists in sixty countries, as Osma claims so .There are some grains of truth though.The US has been conjecturalised as the unipolar monster globally policing the world.How far Obama's change could provide space for 'change from within' is yet to be guessed.America's lost moralist stance is yet to be restored. Can America afford tobe half-immoral lies within moralistic perceptions.
South Asia,particularly - Assam and the NE region carries history's semi-colonial burden; by twists and turns, the imbroglio has escalated horizontally.In a nuclear war that won't happen as we hope so, a messy South Asia may not retain a peaceful NE region in India.It is till alarmist as much as every alarmism bears s a rationale.The legitimate issues are yet to be addressed with right perspectives and peace initiatives.A troublesome South Asia is undoubtedly a threat to world peace and security.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
OBAMA,TERRORISM & SPRITUALISM
Guwahati November 18,2008
___________________
President-elect Obama would not concede grounds to either political Islam or, similar strain or ,to the highly spiritualised Wahabi brand of purist Islamism that resulted to the infamous Al Qaeda and similar lines of spiritualism in the context of any faith ,which in its most undiluted form has to provide sufficient space to faith-induced terrorism,the world has witnessed subsequently after the Ayodhya episode.
The Talibans had been the most spiritualistic group that followed the holy book down to the last comma and hence, the kafir idea or the jehadi against those who pose to be less spiritualistic than them. Hindu Talibans or Christian Talibans would not be much different either.If the rigid caste restrictions are complied with in this age and civilization, every street and village byelane would be red and charred corps.
Khomeini's Iran or, rightist Jakarta or,Mushraf-centric Pakistan had tutored the USA, the west and the rest of the world about what a little price the civil society ought to pay in the event of hyphenating progress with values that negate innate progress.
Obama would enhance the strategic presence of the USA in Afghanistan till the NWP of Pakistan is cleared of the forces inimical to entities that stand for civilizational values of the day.Samuel Huntington's way of looking at Islam in his assumed clash of civilizations, as what Bush conceived as 'axis of evil' factory ,may not be in the paradigm consideration of Ms.Clinton, the possible secretary of state post- 20 January next.Obama's past - a non-practising Muslim and, a Christian mother , himself attending an obscure church with lesser spiritual bent of mind, could be a strategic asset in defining the envisioned American multilateralism.
Terrorism could be the gift of blind spiritualism or ,fundamentalism,yet the world community is prepared to hold on spiritualistic fundamentalism and save the civilization from the icy hands of diehard spiritual fundamentalists of all manifestations.
South Asia- India inclusive,Assam, the NE states et.al.- appear in the focus of the new foreign policy initiative of the president-elect.Besides, multicultural Assam and the NE region bears significance in treating political Islam or Hinduism or Christianity within the private ethos of individuals.In a sense, any tilt towards spiritualism, based on purist religious doctrines might be incompatible with pluralist virtues and freedom of conscience.
___________________
President-elect Obama would not concede grounds to either political Islam or, similar strain or ,to the highly spiritualised Wahabi brand of purist Islamism that resulted to the infamous Al Qaeda and similar lines of spiritualism in the context of any faith ,which in its most undiluted form has to provide sufficient space to faith-induced terrorism,the world has witnessed subsequently after the Ayodhya episode.
The Talibans had been the most spiritualistic group that followed the holy book down to the last comma and hence, the kafir idea or the jehadi against those who pose to be less spiritualistic than them. Hindu Talibans or Christian Talibans would not be much different either.If the rigid caste restrictions are complied with in this age and civilization, every street and village byelane would be red and charred corps.
Khomeini's Iran or, rightist Jakarta or,Mushraf-centric Pakistan had tutored the USA, the west and the rest of the world about what a little price the civil society ought to pay in the event of hyphenating progress with values that negate innate progress.
Obama would enhance the strategic presence of the USA in Afghanistan till the NWP of Pakistan is cleared of the forces inimical to entities that stand for civilizational values of the day.Samuel Huntington's way of looking at Islam in his assumed clash of civilizations, as what Bush conceived as 'axis of evil' factory ,may not be in the paradigm consideration of Ms.Clinton, the possible secretary of state post- 20 January next.Obama's past - a non-practising Muslim and, a Christian mother , himself attending an obscure church with lesser spiritual bent of mind, could be a strategic asset in defining the envisioned American multilateralism.
Terrorism could be the gift of blind spiritualism or ,fundamentalism,yet the world community is prepared to hold on spiritualistic fundamentalism and save the civilization from the icy hands of diehard spiritual fundamentalists of all manifestations.
South Asia- India inclusive,Assam, the NE states et.al.- appear in the focus of the new foreign policy initiative of the president-elect.Besides, multicultural Assam and the NE region bears significance in treating political Islam or Hinduism or Christianity within the private ethos of individuals.In a sense, any tilt towards spiritualism, based on purist religious doctrines might be incompatible with pluralist virtues and freedom of conscience.
Saturday, November 15, 2008
OBAMA ON SOUTH ASIA- ASSAM,NE REGION
Guwahati 16 November,2008
____________________
Barack HusseinObama has stood for a change in the USA and the rest of the world, by disowning Republican obsessions in imagined WMD-aggression in Iraq.Recession imposed from within and without altered the dogmatic neo-liberal market economy by pumping in a big corpus of state money in private banks of the USA.
Yet recession would not hold up Obama presidency to fight back political Islam of Al Qaeda or Taliban brand; hence, his focus on NWP tribal areas in Pakistan and Afghanistan. What Jakarta expects of him on possible rolling back on US offensive on the extreme fringe on political Islam could remain a wishful thinking.Yet,Obama advisors want that Obama would not be a Bush II and symbol of worldwide hatred of American arrogance.
His proposed envoy on Kashmir - ex prez.Bill Clinton might revive a peace offensive in Jammu and Kashmir.Indian hawks would naturally harp upon Bhutto-Indira Shimla agreement on bilateralism, refurbished Tashkent agreement,so on- some of the agreements had already changed after Kargil engagement. Indian hawks would like to sustain war for their choice and gains in the military industry. Obama trusts upon multilateralism in Kashmir issue and by, extension to Assam issue and unrest in the rest of the NE region for more than half a century.
Obama's fight against terrorism in general could be qualified by re-defined parameters like more enhancement of trade and economic engagements in South and South East Asia. India as the USA strategic buffer against a rising superpower- the Peoples Republic of China [ say,Communist China,not Taiwan] would be Obama's priority, not excluding his pressure on India and Pakistan to join CTBT and actual nuclear non-proliferation; reason- to pre-empt a mistaken nuclear flare -up in South Asia.
India's conflict zone had been over-focussed on Kashmir alone at the cost of the insurgency in Assam and the rest of the NE region.Should his proposed multilateralism be imagined as Kashmir-specific or, a strategic tool is what the analysts have to think about.Realpolitik demands a principle first, and then, it political application.Eggs in plenty are in his basket.Peace in South Asia is possible if Assam and the NE region is made a factor in strategic analysis of Obama advisors, some of whom are the legacy of Clinton.Ms.Clinton,a proposed name for the post of secretary of state is a name to be reckoned, since she did more homeworks in Clinton presidency than any one else.
Assam that figured in British Indian chronolgy since 1826 had been searching for a political constitution comparable only to that of pre-August 9,1953 Kashmir constitution.Assam's premier Gopinath Bardoloi had pleaded as many as three times in 1946 for a separate constitution of Assam.The diehard unitarists or war-mongers overlooked Bardoloi proposition due largely to ignorance and preponderance of political opportunism.
In the political roadmap of Assam, the powerful students' union demands re-federalisation of India with Assam and the national liberation outfit demands restoration of Assam's sovereignty and hence, the movement since 1979 till date.A section of the local elites would suggest the need for application of Paris principles of 1975 that brought NSCN to the table in 1995 by PM Rao of India.The conditions agreed upon by the parties had been- talks confined to sovereignty of Nagaland, at the level of prime ministers only ,and venue- outside India. The Assamese counterpart might have insisted upon the application of Paris principles,1995 to Assam_India talks.The two talks bear the same parameters,notwithstanding other secondary paradigms.
Obama's multilateralism is a positive stance to break the ice in South Asia.Naturally, external affairs hawks might be skeptical for scripting a permanent peace architecture in South Asia without imagining a win-win situation.
____________________________________
____________________
Barack HusseinObama has stood for a change in the USA and the rest of the world, by disowning Republican obsessions in imagined WMD-aggression in Iraq.Recession imposed from within and without altered the dogmatic neo-liberal market economy by pumping in a big corpus of state money in private banks of the USA.
Yet recession would not hold up Obama presidency to fight back political Islam of Al Qaeda or Taliban brand; hence, his focus on NWP tribal areas in Pakistan and Afghanistan. What Jakarta expects of him on possible rolling back on US offensive on the extreme fringe on political Islam could remain a wishful thinking.Yet,Obama advisors want that Obama would not be a Bush II and symbol of worldwide hatred of American arrogance.
His proposed envoy on Kashmir - ex prez.Bill Clinton might revive a peace offensive in Jammu and Kashmir.Indian hawks would naturally harp upon Bhutto-Indira Shimla agreement on bilateralism, refurbished Tashkent agreement,so on- some of the agreements had already changed after Kargil engagement. Indian hawks would like to sustain war for their choice and gains in the military industry. Obama trusts upon multilateralism in Kashmir issue and by, extension to Assam issue and unrest in the rest of the NE region for more than half a century.
Obama's fight against terrorism in general could be qualified by re-defined parameters like more enhancement of trade and economic engagements in South and South East Asia. India as the USA strategic buffer against a rising superpower- the Peoples Republic of China [ say,Communist China,not Taiwan] would be Obama's priority, not excluding his pressure on India and Pakistan to join CTBT and actual nuclear non-proliferation; reason- to pre-empt a mistaken nuclear flare -up in South Asia.
India's conflict zone had been over-focussed on Kashmir alone at the cost of the insurgency in Assam and the rest of the NE region.Should his proposed multilateralism be imagined as Kashmir-specific or, a strategic tool is what the analysts have to think about.Realpolitik demands a principle first, and then, it political application.Eggs in plenty are in his basket.Peace in South Asia is possible if Assam and the NE region is made a factor in strategic analysis of Obama advisors, some of whom are the legacy of Clinton.Ms.Clinton,a proposed name for the post of secretary of state is a name to be reckoned, since she did more homeworks in Clinton presidency than any one else.
Assam that figured in British Indian chronolgy since 1826 had been searching for a political constitution comparable only to that of pre-August 9,1953 Kashmir constitution.Assam's premier Gopinath Bardoloi had pleaded as many as three times in 1946 for a separate constitution of Assam.The diehard unitarists or war-mongers overlooked Bardoloi proposition due largely to ignorance and preponderance of political opportunism.
In the political roadmap of Assam, the powerful students' union demands re-federalisation of India with Assam and the national liberation outfit demands restoration of Assam's sovereignty and hence, the movement since 1979 till date.A section of the local elites would suggest the need for application of Paris principles of 1975 that brought NSCN to the table in 1995 by PM Rao of India.The conditions agreed upon by the parties had been- talks confined to sovereignty of Nagaland, at the level of prime ministers only ,and venue- outside India. The Assamese counterpart might have insisted upon the application of Paris principles,1995 to Assam_India talks.The two talks bear the same parameters,notwithstanding other secondary paradigms.
Obama's multilateralism is a positive stance to break the ice in South Asia.Naturally, external affairs hawks might be skeptical for scripting a permanent peace architecture in South Asia without imagining a win-win situation.
____________________________________
PRESS DAY- NOVEMBER 16
Guwahati 15 November,2008
_____________________
Press is playing pro-active role in bringing changes in civilizational values.Freedom of Press is still enigmatic.The capitalist press is absolutely free so long as communism is projected as the evil in Biblical terms.Now, the same press is advancing towards assaulting political Islam,not necessarily political christianity.In similar vein, the socialist freedom of press marches ahead by negating human exploitation and capitalist values as de-humanizing Saitan. However, freedom of press is the benchmark of human freedom.It has to be re-defined and standardised with human rights benchmarks.
The moment a British or a whiteman is injured or done to death, the BBC is fairly neutral to shout at the rooftop- 24 X7.Interestingly, the loss of several lives a day in Assam or Manipur or Nagaland is not worthy of BBC's attention.Reason- BBC's freedom of press is exclusively for the protection of Western interest with sympathetic extenstion rulers of her ex colonies.
The CNN paparazi during US invasion of Iraq had shown the way of American freedom of the media- denial,suppression of the facts and exaggeration of Western virtues.The imaginary WMD and the invented war in Iraq had been possible because of Western version of freedom of Press and media.
Similarly, Indian press had projected any movement in the NE region of India as mindless terrorism worthy of cruel state backlash and hence , a dozen of black laws.However, press is relatively an indispensable tool of human progression.
November 16 in the NES- Assam,Manipur and Nagaland, is significant in more than one sense. The NE press has been sandwiched between military pressures and the tactics of the insurgents, some of whom have been questioned for their legitimacy. NE press my induct Press Ombudsman in the respectable dailies.It is time to give constructive meaning to freedom and freedom to define what freedom means.
*************** Nov.14,2008 blogger,please open-
http://wwwkangleipak.blogspot.com
_____________________
Press is playing pro-active role in bringing changes in civilizational values.Freedom of Press is still enigmatic.The capitalist press is absolutely free so long as communism is projected as the evil in Biblical terms.Now, the same press is advancing towards assaulting political Islam,not necessarily political christianity.In similar vein, the socialist freedom of press marches ahead by negating human exploitation and capitalist values as de-humanizing Saitan. However, freedom of press is the benchmark of human freedom.It has to be re-defined and standardised with human rights benchmarks.
The moment a British or a whiteman is injured or done to death, the BBC is fairly neutral to shout at the rooftop- 24 X7.Interestingly, the loss of several lives a day in Assam or Manipur or Nagaland is not worthy of BBC's attention.Reason- BBC's freedom of press is exclusively for the protection of Western interest with sympathetic extenstion rulers of her ex colonies.
The CNN paparazi during US invasion of Iraq had shown the way of American freedom of the media- denial,suppression of the facts and exaggeration of Western virtues.The imaginary WMD and the invented war in Iraq had been possible because of Western version of freedom of Press and media.
Similarly, Indian press had projected any movement in the NE region of India as mindless terrorism worthy of cruel state backlash and hence , a dozen of black laws.However, press is relatively an indispensable tool of human progression.
November 16 in the NES- Assam,Manipur and Nagaland, is significant in more than one sense. The NE press has been sandwiched between military pressures and the tactics of the insurgents, some of whom have been questioned for their legitimacy. NE press my induct Press Ombudsman in the respectable dailies.It is time to give constructive meaning to freedom and freedom to define what freedom means.
*************** Nov.14,2008 blogger,please open-
http://wwwkangleipak.blogspot.com
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
OBAMA SILENT ON 70000 MYANMAR REFUGEES-SPILL OVE TO MANIPUR STATE
Guwahati,11 November,2008
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Heroin production,AIDS,7oooo Burmese refugees,maritime insecurity,human rights abuses and the democracy-impasse characterise Manipur's ancient neighbour- Myanmar[Burma]. Burmese refugee spill-overs reach out to small state like Manipur and the drug-trajectory passes through Manipur as the nodal point.
Barack Obama may shift his focus to China rather than giving a thought to Burma and the Asean.However, two of his senior advisors- Frank Januzzi and Robert Gelbar- have been urging upon him to sign the TAC in order to join the East Asia summit.The region with a population of 500 million souls may not be under-focused by any leader worth the salt.
His would- be- predecessor Bush had not been invited to the East Asan summit,since the USA had refused to sign the non-aggression pact- the TAC. USA need not shy away from being a dignified party to non-aggression pacts, in order to demonstrate to the world that rogue-state need not be tagged to the US.
Maritime security,environmental issues, climate change, sustainable development fall within Barack Obama's agenda for change.Burma matter need not be dragged into the UN security council agenda,as somes states wished to do so.Basically,Obama seems to welcome a 'change from within' Myanmar which could remain a wishful foreign policy speculation as long as the region is not taken care of in the Asian initiative.Manipur had been Burma's ancient neighbour which gives shelter to Burmese refugees in a small way though.Obama's change is yet to be made pragmatic in the usual American sense.
________________
Heroin production,AIDS,7oooo Burmese refugees,maritime insecurity,human rights abuses and the democracy-impasse characterise Manipur's ancient neighbour- Myanmar[Burma]. Burmese refugee spill-overs reach out to small state like Manipur and the drug-trajectory passes through Manipur as the nodal point.
Barack Obama may shift his focus to China rather than giving a thought to Burma and the Asean.However, two of his senior advisors- Frank Januzzi and Robert Gelbar- have been urging upon him to sign the TAC in order to join the East Asia summit.The region with a population of 500 million souls may not be under-focused by any leader worth the salt.
His would- be- predecessor Bush had not been invited to the East Asan summit,since the USA had refused to sign the non-aggression pact- the TAC. USA need not shy away from being a dignified party to non-aggression pacts, in order to demonstrate to the world that rogue-state need not be tagged to the US.
Maritime security,environmental issues, climate change, sustainable development fall within Barack Obama's agenda for change.Burma matter need not be dragged into the UN security council agenda,as somes states wished to do so.Basically,Obama seems to welcome a 'change from within' Myanmar which could remain a wishful foreign policy speculation as long as the region is not taken care of in the Asian initiative.Manipur had been Burma's ancient neighbour which gives shelter to Burmese refugees in a small way though.Obama's change is yet to be made pragmatic in the usual American sense.
Sunday, November 9, 2008
OBAMA TO ENGAGE IN MYANMAR- MANIPUR'S HISTORICAL NEIGHBOUR
Guwahati
9 November,2008
_____________
Barack Hussein Obama,the US president-elect might change his predecessor's apathy to Myanmar[Burma] by pro-actively engaging in the Asean that Condolizza Rice marginalised.Asean is ten ,and the new administration could not peripheralise ten Asian states- the Asean entity in terms of economic and security relationship.Could it be bilateral or multilateral is a choice of the new dispensation- a choice has to be there.Burma's neighbours- Manipur et.al. are unquiet for more than half a century.Obama would know gradually, where Manipur does exist in proximity of Burma,yet try to overlook it as an Intra-Indian imbroglio.
For political reasons,both the SPDC military junta as well as the NLD leadership have greeted the president-elect.The junta doubts if Obama would change Bush's indifference ,and the opposition desires a multilateral approach to Myanmar.The NLD states," we want the US to work with the international community and the United Nations[on Burma]."
In retrospect,both Obama and his VP- mate Biden had supported US sanctions against Burma.In September 2007, Obama denounced the military junta for the latter's attack on peaceful demonstrators in Burma.
His adviros Samantha,P has proposed multilateral approach to the country's political and economic unrest. He cannot afford to take on a hardline stance against the present Burmese dispensation,once on the shaddle of power, for he would require- sooner or later - an engagement with the Asean.
Bush administration and Condolizza Rice skipped annual Asean forum indicating lack of concern ,that really is one for the US.The US would, as in the past, voluntarily by default leave the entire Burmese political and security space to either Russia or China or both, in the changing political equations. Obma advisor Robert Gelbard has already hinted at the imminent Russian and Chinese move towards re-enforcing a'regional architecture'.
The 'axis of evil ' -the pet forteign policy theory of Bush administration might not remain a tag to the new dispensation, particularly in a situation, which the US strtegists, would look forward to a possible 'change from within' in Myanmar.Had Myanmar been restive, her next door neighbour- Manipur had been relatively unquiet in Indian political architecture.Obama would have a concern on Burma and evade a feeble concern on Burma's next door neighbour.
9 November,2008
_____________
Barack Hussein Obama,the US president-elect might change his predecessor's apathy to Myanmar[Burma] by pro-actively engaging in the Asean that Condolizza Rice marginalised.Asean is ten ,and the new administration could not peripheralise ten Asian states- the Asean entity in terms of economic and security relationship.Could it be bilateral or multilateral is a choice of the new dispensation- a choice has to be there.Burma's neighbours- Manipur et.al. are unquiet for more than half a century.Obama would know gradually, where Manipur does exist in proximity of Burma,yet try to overlook it as an Intra-Indian imbroglio.
For political reasons,both the SPDC military junta as well as the NLD leadership have greeted the president-elect.The junta doubts if Obama would change Bush's indifference ,and the opposition desires a multilateral approach to Myanmar.The NLD states," we want the US to work with the international community and the United Nations[on Burma]."
In retrospect,both Obama and his VP- mate Biden had supported US sanctions against Burma.In September 2007, Obama denounced the military junta for the latter's attack on peaceful demonstrators in Burma.
His adviros Samantha,P has proposed multilateral approach to the country's political and economic unrest. He cannot afford to take on a hardline stance against the present Burmese dispensation,once on the shaddle of power, for he would require- sooner or later - an engagement with the Asean.
Bush administration and Condolizza Rice skipped annual Asean forum indicating lack of concern ,that really is one for the US.The US would, as in the past, voluntarily by default leave the entire Burmese political and security space to either Russia or China or both, in the changing political equations. Obma advisor Robert Gelbard has already hinted at the imminent Russian and Chinese move towards re-enforcing a'regional architecture'.
The 'axis of evil ' -the pet forteign policy theory of Bush administration might not remain a tag to the new dispensation, particularly in a situation, which the US strtegists, would look forward to a possible 'change from within' in Myanmar.Had Myanmar been restive, her next door neighbour- Manipur had been relatively unquiet in Indian political architecture.Obama would have a concern on Burma and evade a feeble concern on Burma's next door neighbour.
Friday, November 7, 2008
OBAMA ON SOUTH ASIA-STRENGTHEN ECONOMIC && SECURITY RELATIONS
GUWAHATI, 8 NOV.2008
__________________
South Asia is a mess-up in economic and security terms for the US strategic analysts,let alone American obsession with the emerging super power- communist China- the PRC.No US president could afford to neglect South Asia, particularly India that could be American buffer against its imagined rival-the next super power- People's Republic of China, with which a meltdown had already happened in Ma0-Nixon era, largely due to the astute forein policy managment of Harvard professor-secretary of state-Henry Kissinger, who the Americans consider as a benign necessary evil.
The South Asian leaders and PMs had profusely wecomed Barack Hussein Obama with hidden consideration of political over-expectations that unnerved even the Americans at home.Even Harijan chief minister Mayavati and the colored Indians at Jharkhand- Indian counterpart of Barack's Kenyan ancestry had celebrated his victory.
Even the Taliban leader in Afghanistan made lukewarm response to Obama; they knew that Obama might send more troops in Afghanistan and Pakistan if 'actionable intelligence' could be gathered.Obama would naturally make a shift from ' Mushraf-centric' US policy towards more PPP-friendly gestures.The difference- towards Pakistan: tough talk with a threat; and towards Afghanistan- real US threat to Islamist terrorists.
Taliban leader had spoken : if Bush policy continues, "..then, our struggle against America will continue." Obama is all out for removal of' terrorist' safe haven' from Afghanistan.Pakistan could facilitate the fight,less Pakistan - as an old ally ,could be another US casualty.
One of Obama's advisor on foreign policy is Bruce Reidel from Brookings institution, a CIA person with 29 years experience in CIA operation and decision makings. His scripting of foreign policy towards South Asia could be Reidel's own refined reflection.
India is at the US priority list- for economic cooperation , security relationship,and better trade relations.China factor will always figure even in the agenda of the new 'candidate for change' that Obama represents.He would insist on re-fedining India's unwilling cooperation on his nuclear non-proliferation agenda; India's smart hawks would play unilateral moratorium game and NSG execptionalism, which Pakistan might be equally entitled to, with Chinese push up. Sri Lanka - a low priority area-would not escape attention of the new presidency.Peace in South Asia might not be a reality as long as the LTTE issue continues the festering wound.
Obama is for change.Is change ready for a wedlock with the new white house groom is another question of American pragmatism.Realpolitik is a harder nut to crack than pontificating change at the time of getting on the political escalator.
__________________
South Asia is a mess-up in economic and security terms for the US strategic analysts,let alone American obsession with the emerging super power- communist China- the PRC.No US president could afford to neglect South Asia, particularly India that could be American buffer against its imagined rival-the next super power- People's Republic of China, with which a meltdown had already happened in Ma0-Nixon era, largely due to the astute forein policy managment of Harvard professor-secretary of state-Henry Kissinger, who the Americans consider as a benign necessary evil.
The South Asian leaders and PMs had profusely wecomed Barack Hussein Obama with hidden consideration of political over-expectations that unnerved even the Americans at home.Even Harijan chief minister Mayavati and the colored Indians at Jharkhand- Indian counterpart of Barack's Kenyan ancestry had celebrated his victory.
Even the Taliban leader in Afghanistan made lukewarm response to Obama; they knew that Obama might send more troops in Afghanistan and Pakistan if 'actionable intelligence' could be gathered.Obama would naturally make a shift from ' Mushraf-centric' US policy towards more PPP-friendly gestures.The difference- towards Pakistan: tough talk with a threat; and towards Afghanistan- real US threat to Islamist terrorists.
Taliban leader had spoken : if Bush policy continues, "..then, our struggle against America will continue." Obama is all out for removal of' terrorist' safe haven' from Afghanistan.Pakistan could facilitate the fight,less Pakistan - as an old ally ,could be another US casualty.
One of Obama's advisor on foreign policy is Bruce Reidel from Brookings institution, a CIA person with 29 years experience in CIA operation and decision makings. His scripting of foreign policy towards South Asia could be Reidel's own refined reflection.
India is at the US priority list- for economic cooperation , security relationship,and better trade relations.China factor will always figure even in the agenda of the new 'candidate for change' that Obama represents.He would insist on re-fedining India's unwilling cooperation on his nuclear non-proliferation agenda; India's smart hawks would play unilateral moratorium game and NSG execptionalism, which Pakistan might be equally entitled to, with Chinese push up. Sri Lanka - a low priority area-would not escape attention of the new presidency.Peace in South Asia might not be a reality as long as the LTTE issue continues the festering wound.
Obama is for change.Is change ready for a wedlock with the new white house groom is another question of American pragmatism.Realpolitik is a harder nut to crack than pontificating change at the time of getting on the political escalator.
OBAMA REVERSE BUSH'S REVULSION TOWARDS THE ICC ?
Guwahati,7 Nov.2008
______________
Can Obama reverse Bush decision,that reversed Clinton decision in signing the ICC-Rome statute,1998 which anticipated the USA to get along with American allies in enlarged EU and the rest of the world ,in terminating impunity for commission of heinous crimes? Obama could re-think and enjoin the multilateral international justicing system like any other responsible nation elsewhere.
First,Obama stands for war crimes tribunal.If he could step ahead the ICC is nearer home.
Second,Obama has pledged to bring president Omar al-Bashir to justice for his commission of war crimes and in Sudan.He is not encouraging evasion of accountability.He may or may not advance one step ahead, depending on his world view and re-examination of American unilateralism.
Generally, he wants international cooperation,yet he may caveat like Bush to save American criminals all over the world,under the cover of Hague Invasion Act and the like.
Third, his dependence on ex Prez Bill Clinton on certain foreign affairs matters could revive a Clinton on the ICC subject.Besides, 70% of American people like their government to sign the ICC and make the USA a respectable country- not a rogue state to be feared and hated.He has a chance to play his cards on the ICC.
Fourth,Obama's foreign policy advisor Mark Lippert stated the US priority over Iran,non-proliferation and Afghanistan ,thereby pushing down the ICC in the lower priority slot,yet ICC has not been brushed aside.Priorities could change after next January swearing-in ceremony.
Restoration of the damaged American prestige would naturally include the ICC agenda.Obama has a chance to re-prioritize the ICC and reverse the harsh stance of Bush,who makes a wrong case on the inflated and misconceived ' political motivated prosecution' of American criminals at home or in the rest of the world.
Bush has misconceived that his fellow Americans are the most hated people in the planet, and hence, his behavioual revulsion towards the ICC .The next Barack Obama card could be green.
______________
Can Obama reverse Bush decision,that reversed Clinton decision in signing the ICC-Rome statute,1998 which anticipated the USA to get along with American allies in enlarged EU and the rest of the world ,in terminating impunity for commission of heinous crimes? Obama could re-think and enjoin the multilateral international justicing system like any other responsible nation elsewhere.
First,Obama stands for war crimes tribunal.If he could step ahead the ICC is nearer home.
Second,Obama has pledged to bring president Omar al-Bashir to justice for his commission of war crimes and in Sudan.He is not encouraging evasion of accountability.He may or may not advance one step ahead, depending on his world view and re-examination of American unilateralism.
Generally, he wants international cooperation,yet he may caveat like Bush to save American criminals all over the world,under the cover of Hague Invasion Act and the like.
Third, his dependence on ex Prez Bill Clinton on certain foreign affairs matters could revive a Clinton on the ICC subject.Besides, 70% of American people like their government to sign the ICC and make the USA a respectable country- not a rogue state to be feared and hated.He has a chance to play his cards on the ICC.
Fourth,Obama's foreign policy advisor Mark Lippert stated the US priority over Iran,non-proliferation and Afghanistan ,thereby pushing down the ICC in the lower priority slot,yet ICC has not been brushed aside.Priorities could change after next January swearing-in ceremony.
Restoration of the damaged American prestige would naturally include the ICC agenda.Obama has a chance to re-prioritize the ICC and reverse the harsh stance of Bush,who makes a wrong case on the inflated and misconceived ' political motivated prosecution' of American criminals at home or in the rest of the world.
Bush has misconceived that his fellow Americans are the most hated people in the planet, and hence, his behavioual revulsion towards the ICC .The next Barack Obama card could be green.
Thursday, November 6, 2008
OBAMA FIREFIGHTING NUCLEAR DANGER OUT OF KASHMIR
Guwahati 6Nov.2008
_______________
Indian foreign policy hawks would naturally study Barack Obama's real concern over Kashmir dispute with skepticism,yet Indian statesmen would love to transcend bilateral trappings in order to build up and script permanent peace in South Asia. A win-win situation would be hated by warmongers in both the neighbours,who would insist on Sisyphos syndrome as Indian foreign policy cornerstone.
A breakthrough is always possible ,as it happened in middle -east or northern Ireland, due to pro-active US intervention.Obama's concern goes deeper since his statement in summer 2007.The parameters make no considerable shift since then.
First, a possible nuclear danger could suddenly emerge out of Kashmir and threaten world peace.He ,therefore, insisted that India and Pakistan should be party to CTBT; however, China would support extension of NSG exceptionalism to Pakistan as well.Arms control carries tags.
Second,by hyphenating Pakistan with Afghanistan on Taliban issue or similar issues by extension, India could not be unbracketed in common cause against Islamic fundamentalismor, the ugly side of political Islam.Kashmir is the nodal point for India,Pakistan and the USA as peace broker;naturally bilatrealism would yield ground to multilateralism.Hurriyat may by extension may demand a political space in a possible multilateral enagagement in future.Their statements reveal their political mind.
Third, the centre of gravity of US foreign policy is shifting from Iraq and this may cover horizontal grounds including South Asia. Fourth, Obama's intention to use the services of ex Prez.Bill Clinton as his special Kashmir rapporteur may open a new leaf in South Asia or Asia in a wider context.
His articulation of " political roots' of nuclear danger or, possible dangers is the basis of his foreign policy initiative.Obama is a mascot of peace in South Asia. Peace might break out when the right moment comes. Peace does not break out in unprepared ground.India and Pakistan leaders may prepare the ground.
_______________
Indian foreign policy hawks would naturally study Barack Obama's real concern over Kashmir dispute with skepticism,yet Indian statesmen would love to transcend bilateral trappings in order to build up and script permanent peace in South Asia. A win-win situation would be hated by warmongers in both the neighbours,who would insist on Sisyphos syndrome as Indian foreign policy cornerstone.
A breakthrough is always possible ,as it happened in middle -east or northern Ireland, due to pro-active US intervention.Obama's concern goes deeper since his statement in summer 2007.The parameters make no considerable shift since then.
First, a possible nuclear danger could suddenly emerge out of Kashmir and threaten world peace.He ,therefore, insisted that India and Pakistan should be party to CTBT; however, China would support extension of NSG exceptionalism to Pakistan as well.Arms control carries tags.
Second,by hyphenating Pakistan with Afghanistan on Taliban issue or similar issues by extension, India could not be unbracketed in common cause against Islamic fundamentalismor, the ugly side of political Islam.Kashmir is the nodal point for India,Pakistan and the USA as peace broker;naturally bilatrealism would yield ground to multilateralism.Hurriyat may by extension may demand a political space in a possible multilateral enagagement in future.Their statements reveal their political mind.
Third, the centre of gravity of US foreign policy is shifting from Iraq and this may cover horizontal grounds including South Asia. Fourth, Obama's intention to use the services of ex Prez.Bill Clinton as his special Kashmir rapporteur may open a new leaf in South Asia or Asia in a wider context.
His articulation of " political roots' of nuclear danger or, possible dangers is the basis of his foreign policy initiative.Obama is a mascot of peace in South Asia. Peace might break out when the right moment comes. Peace does not break out in unprepared ground.India and Pakistan leaders may prepare the ground.
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
OBAMA'S KASHMIR CONCERN-ADD ASSAM/MANIPUR
OBAMA 'S CONCERN OVER KASHMIR
COULD EXTEND TO DISPUTES IN ASSAM,MANIPUR,NES
__________________________________________
It is a great thing that Obama had shown concern at bringing durable and just peace in Kashmir issue.While doing so, he could extend his concern in bringing peace to Manipur,Assam,Tripura and the NE region of India, which had been annexed by Indian union.As long as there had been no dispute over the annexation, it was a non-issue.As the NLMs of the region had militarily contested for half a century the Indian annexation, the UN and the super power had a role in resolving the dispute fairly, as much as they did their jon in the rest of the world.
COULD EXTEND TO DISPUTES IN ASSAM,MANIPUR,NES
__________________________________________
It is a great thing that Obama had shown concern at bringing durable and just peace in Kashmir issue.While doing so, he could extend his concern in bringing peace to Manipur,Assam,Tripura and the NE region of India, which had been annexed by Indian union.As long as there had been no dispute over the annexation, it was a non-issue.As the NLMs of the region had militarily contested for half a century the Indian annexation, the UN and the super power had a role in resolving the dispute fairly, as much as they did their jon in the rest of the world.
Obama congrats-withdraw US army
President designate Obama-Congrats.
Give attention to the non-independent people in South Asia, and rest of the world.Your multiracial,plural and anti-colonial background would raise America to its old heights of respectability.World would love to see America not as a monster,but as friendly folk.Go ahead
Give attention to the non-independent people in South Asia, and rest of the world.Your multiracial,plural and anti-colonial background would raise America to its old heights of respectability.World would love to see America not as a monster,but as friendly folk.Go ahead
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